Tag: Africa

TNYS Report: ‘If Mali Falls to Al Qaeda, the Shock Waves Will Spread to the Coastal States and Beyond’– In this Report I Share a Couple of Variables

Royce de Melo, November 15, 2025November 15, 2025

‘While a government collapse is not considered an immediate worry for the White House, it is one that world leaders cannot ignore.’ In this well-written report by Hollie McKay, I share a couple of variables to consider regarding the virtual siege that is happening around the capital Bamako, and the chance…

Africa

The Washington Post: Trump threatens potential military action in Nigeria, says aid will cease

Royce de Melo, November 2, 2025November 2, 2025

Wow. This sounds serious. Some of us might remember back to 2015 when STTEP PMCs went in to help Nigeria, and almost destroyed the Jihadi terrorist group Boko Haram, until the STTEP were inexplicably told to stand down and leave. This was the kiss of life for Boko Haram. –RdM…

Mali

Great Report about PMCs Arms Control and Wagner in Mali, But Falls Short Understanding Arms Procurement Processes and Usage

Royce de Melo, October 20, 2025October 27, 2025

This is an interesting and very insightful report by Global Initiative called ‘Private military companies and arms control challenges, The Wagner group in Mali‘. There is a bit in the report about Russians not getting along with the Malian troops are entirely in line with expectations. In Mozambique a few…

ISIS

By Death or Surrender, Some ISIS Key Leaders Have Bit the Dust in the Deserts of the Sahel

Royce de Melo, September 3, 2025September 3, 2025

Al Qaeda in the Sahel, i.e. Jama’a Nusrat ul-Islam wa al-Muslimin (JNIM), appears to be making worrisome gains and garnering more attention these days than ISIS, i.e. Islamic State in Greater Sahara (ISGS). This report about ISGC leaders being taken out or surrendering might be indicative of their situation. –RdM…